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Red Sox vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 2
Elly De La Cruz and Wilyer Abreu take the field when the Cincinnati Reds face off against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday at Fenway Park. The Red Sox come in as favorites with odds set at -130, while the underdog Reds are at +109, looking to spoil the game. Boston (-1.5) is also favored on the run line, and the matchup’s total runs are projected at 9.5.
Here’s everything you need to know from a betting perspective regarding the Red Sox vs. Reds game, covering the run line, moneyline, and total, along with expert picks. Stay updated with MLB on FOX Sports.
Game Information & Odds
When: Wednesday, July 2, 2025, at 7:10 p.m. ET
Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
How to watch on TV: NESN and FDSOH
Odds Overview
| Favorites | Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line Favorite | Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -130 | +109 | 9.5 | -111 | -109 | -1.5 | +150 | -182 |
Prediction
Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Reds 4
Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Red Sox 55%, Reds 45%
Betting Insights
This season, the Red Sox have won 26 out of 51 games when favored, which is a 51% success rate login paymaya. Boston’s performance as favorites with odds of -130 or more is 11-16, equating to a 40.7% win rate. Based on the moneyline, their implied win probability stands at 56.5%.
The Reds have been underdogs in 48 games this season, securing wins 25 times (52.1%). Cincinnati’s record in games where they are favored by +109 or worse on the moneyline is 10-17. The moneyline set for this matchup implies that the Reds have a 47.8% chance of winning.
Red Sox Recent Betting Performance
In their last 10 games, the Red Sox have been the moneyline favorite four times, managing a record of 1-3 in those encounters. Over these 10 outings, they and their opponents combined have surpassed the set totals six times. Their against-the-spread (ATS) record is 4-6-0 boss77. phwin.bet login.
Recent Stats
Record: 3-7
Runs Per Game: 5 90 jili register.4
Home Runs: 14
ERA: 4.60
K/9: 8.6
Player Insights
Jarren Duran is hitting .253 with 20 doubles, nine triples, six home runs, and 26 walks. His home runs rank him 182nd among MLB players, and he is 77th in runs batted in (RBI). Duran is coming off a two-game hitting streak, hitting .167 during his last five games, with a triple, a home run, four walks, and one RBI.
Wilyer Abreu leads the team with 16 home runs while batting .256. He ranks 26th in home runs and 45th in RBI this season. Ceddanne Rafaela shows strong performance as well, with 15 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and a batting average of . betting games online254. Rafaela carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup, with a .278 batting average over his last five games.
Recent Reds Betting Performance
In their last ten games as underdogs, the Reds posted a record of 3-4. They are 3-6-1 in hitting the over in these games. The Reds’ ATS record in the past ten games is evenly split at 5-5-0.
Reds Recent Stats
Record: 5-5
Runs Per Game: 4.3
Home Runs: 8
ERA: 3.95
K/9: 8.3
Player Insights
De La Cruz leads the Reds with 18 home runs and 57 RBIs, ranking 16th among all MLB hitters in home runs and 12th in RBI. TJ Friedl boasts a top batting average of .283 for the club, but he ranks 135th in home runs and 132nd in RBI across the league. Meanwhile, Spencer Steer has 13 doubles, a triple, nine home runs, and a batting average of .250, while Gavin Lux holds a .267 average with 15 doubles and four home runs.
Conclusion
Ultimately, this matchup presents an exciting opportunity for the Red Sox to assert their dominance at Fenway Park against the Reds. As the teams prepare for this game, fans will be eager to see which side claims victory. Who are you betting on to emerge victorious in this thrilling contest between the Red Sox and the Reds?
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